EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 10 Power Forwards, #10

#10 – Jerai Grant (or) Tristan Thompson (or) Papa Dia

Jerai Grant, Tristan Thompson and Papa Dia are players a team drafts for defense and hopes their offense catches up. Though Dia has the more polished offensive game, upside and previous level of competition night in, night out are our big questions.

For Jerai, the question is whether he has maxed out his potential since he is a senior. What he provides now does give him a role on a team’s bench but not much more.

Tristan has question marks regarding his offense – lack of range, inefficiency, poor Free Throw shooting, he is leaving school as a Freshman with the same defensive skill-set as the other two.

Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of lordseal92

Video courtesy of CityLeagueHoopsTV

Video courtesy of SMUMustangsAthletics

PF	Jerai Grant
	BPM	PCM	DIR	TAP
Rank	25.66	36.33	9.25	39.00

PF	Tristan Thompson
	BPM	PCM	DIR	TAP
Rank	33.46	43.00	8.00	65.00

PF	Papa Dia
	BPM	PCM	DIR	TAP
Rank	19.42	10.67	15.00	41.00

Out of 138 players:

·       Jerai Grant, Tristan Thompson and Papa Dia are second round picks – early 30’s, unless a team gambles.

·    Tristan might be that gamble because he is younger, or it could be Dia because of of his offensive game, that features rage out to 20 feet.

·     Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA (Talent/Skill-set).

EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 10 Power Forwards, #9

#9 – Kenneth Faried

Kenneth Faried is the player most likely to wreck your draft board. Take that as a positive and a negative! Some are reporting there’s a team or two thinking of taking him Top 10.

Though we like Faried very much, enough to compare him (favorably) to Taj Gibson; enough to put him over some players from top schools, we have some reservations, namely his height and what position and/or role he will play and whether he can score in the NBA.

Other than that, we think his athleticism, energy and rebounding prowess will translate well into the league. Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of 2tone973

 

PF	Kenneth Faried
	BPM		PCM	DIR	TPA
Rank	4.92	1.00		3.25	14.00

 Out of 138 players:

·        Kenneth Faried is a first-round pick in all 4 metrics. The major knock against him is that he played at Morehead State and did not face top competition.

·        He’s worth the risk at 14 to 20 because of his defense and rebounding.

·        Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA (Talent/Skill-set).

EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 10 Power Forwards, #8

#8 – Marcus Morris

Marcus Morris is the Wax Paper by J-Live player of the draft, in that so much of the song – lyrics, flow and beat – sounds like a metaphor for Marcus’s career and its current crossroads.

He had a twin brother borns in the part

One was dark, one was light, neither was right

Taking turns letting off shots to move crowds

With the needlepoint aim and the infrared sights so they ruled the night

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And don't let the motive be anything more than cold-blooded

Cause then he'll put two times the effort in the caper

When diamond-tipped shells will drop jewels in your dome

Pull out your heart, and wrap it up in wax paper

Song and Lyrics by J-Live; Courtesy of EasyLyrics.org

Marcus in  the same predicament as another NBA twin (Brook Lopez); his game leans more on the offensive side and that has people wondering what it would be like if he and brother Markieff were melded.

We don’t feel that is necessary because Marcus is one iota away from being a complete two-way player. He needs to increase output and/or performance in the following categories: 3pt shooting (35%); FT shooting (69%); while adding a few more Blocks and Steals.

As the song says, all he has to do is “put two times the effort in the caper”. Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of TheDraftReview

PF	Marcus Morris
	BPM		PCM	DIR	TPA
Rank	58.76	13.33		75.25	99.00

 Out of 138 players:

·        Marcus Morris is a first-round pick in only 1 of the 4 metrics, the one that factors in overall production. Our projection is first round 13 to 18.

·        Luckily for him, many teams draft utilizing only that metric. For Marcus to justify such a high pick, he has to put in the gym work.

·        Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA (Talent/Skill-set).

EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 10 Power Forwards, #7

#7 – Matt Howard

Matt Howard is that supporting big man who helps a team gets to the next level. He stretches the floor with a solid jumper (40% on 3pters) so Guards can slash and Centers have operating room.

We like the fact that he improved each of his four years at Butler, a mid-major team that made back-to-back NCAA Tournament Finals appearances (2010 and 2011). Matt rebounds, has a nice all-around offensive game, and also plays enough defense to not be a liability when he’s on the floor.  

Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of getbangedon

PF	Matt Howard
	BPM		PCM	DIR	TPA
Rank	40.14	30.33		61.75	16.00

 Out of 138 players:

·    Matt Howard is a first-round pick in only 1 of the 4 metrics, the one that calculates all-around skill/talent. He could go anywhere from 16 to 32.

·     Taking him at 16 is a big risk because we do question upside. But if a team feels ready to compete for a title, then it makes sense.

·     Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA (Talent/Skill-set).

EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 10 Power Forwards, #6

#6 – Justin Harper

Justin Harper is a legit 3point shooter with a back to the basket game. The key question hinges on whether he will do best as a versatile PF or be used as a rugged Small Forward.

His offensive game, complete with 45% from three-point land makes him a very safe pick. Justin can impact the game in many ways but does need to improve his playmaking and commit a bit more to the defensive side.

Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of smyrnall

PF	Justin Harper
	BPM		PCM	DIR	TPA
Rank	28.57	19.67		45.25	12.00

 Out of 138 players:

·        Justin Harper is a first-round pick in 3 of the 4 metrics, and his defense is not so far off that it pushes him too far down.

·        This is a player a team executive can gamble on and pick anywhere from12 to 19 and not get fired years later for that choice.

·        Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA (Talent/Skill-set).

EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 10 Power Forwards, #5

#5 – Markieff Morris

At this point in the rankings for PFs, it becomes more a matter of preference and where each player distinguishes himself. For Markieff Morris, that comes on both defense, where he gives you a bit of everything: rebounding, steals and blocks. He then tops it off, with decent long range shooting – 42% from three-point land.

Markieff’s skill-set and average college production translates into a cog in a well-oiled machine. He will do well if drafted later in the first round and on a veteran club looking for player ready to contribute.

Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of DraftExpress

PF	Markieff Morris
	BPM		PCM		DIR	TPA
Rank	41.51	22.33		46.00		63.00

 Out of 138 players:

·        Markieff Morris would be a first round pick in only 1 of the 4 metrics, partly because he was not a focal point offensively and had enough talent around him to carry the load.

·        He is a very safe pick in the late teens / early 20’s.

·        Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA (Talent/Skill-set).

EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 10 Power Forwards, #4

 #4 – Gary Flowers

Gary Flowers is this draft’s small basketball school PF who is going to shock in the NBA. Flowers possesses the all-around offensive skills of a Small Forward and the rebounding and defensive acumen of an undersized PF.

We see Flowers as a guy who might get picked late in the second round or become a free agent camp invite for a team. That is when and where he will surprise people with his nearly Five-Tool skill set: three-pointer, rebounding, steals and blocks. The only thing currently lacking is the ability to consistently create scoring opportunities for other players.

Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of Angelojohnson1

PF	Gary Flowers
	BPM		PCM	DIR	TPA
Rank	24.33	35.00		27.00	3.00

Out of 138 players:

·        Gary Flowers would be a first round pick in 3 of the 4 metrics, but might be a late second round pick.

·        His lack of size at PF will push him to a tweener roler.

·        The small school, some-what lower first tier, second tier conference is the other knock.

·        Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA (Talent/Skill-set).

EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 10 Power Forwards, #3

#3 – Matthew Bryan-Amaning

Matthew Bryan-Amaning is a very raw player who shows promise but average numbers across the board. His athleticism jumps out at you but everything else needs to be refined.

Teams interest in Bryan-Amaning needs to understand that he’s a project to bring along slowly, with the aim being to develop him as a defender. He is best suited for a speed offense.

Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of hangloose303

PF	Matthew Bryan-Amaning
	BPM		PCM	DIR		TPA
Rank	24.02	31.00		19.75	21.00

 Out of 138 players:

·        Matthew Bryan-Amaning would be a first round pick in 3 of the 4 metrics, but a late one.

·        The question is one of upside, and how much a team thinks he has. For this, we push him to the second round and recommend lots of development.

·        Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA (Talent/Skill-set).

EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 10 Power Forwards, #2

#2 – JaJuan Johnson

JaJuan Johnson is 30 pounds and/or a consistent 3-point shot away from being a superstar. He took the four college years to fully develop his game, to the point that whichever team picks him might be set at PF for the next decade.

We are extremely high on JaJuan so we made him our #2 ranked PF, BUT! We need to see just a bit more defensive integrity and intensity. JaJuan either has to commit to being a long ball threat or stop taking them.

Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of Knightmatic

PF	JaJuan Johnson
	BPM		PCM	DIR		TPA
Rank	13.82	6.67			11.00	30.00

 Out of 138 players:

·        JaJuan Johnson would be a first round pick in 3 of the 4 metrics. We slot him as a Top 10 Pick, but only if a team is looking for offense at the PF position.

·        He can play both PF and Center, and the 3pt shot is the decision he will have to make – stop or improve.

·        Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA (Talent/Skill-set).