EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 5 Small Forwards, #1

 #1 – Derrick Williams

Derrick Williams might be the best player in this draft when it comes to a future NBA career. He is the kind of guy a team can rebuild around by relying on his offensive dominance and brilliance. He is the player a team has to be willing to give consistent guidance as to what makes a NBA superstar player.

Williams can score with the best of them – on the break, the post and the perimeter, including three-point range (57%). He has a NBA build, though if slotted to play Power Forward regularly he would be considered undersized. As a projected Small Forward, the scoring and rebounding fits, but not the lack of playmaking numbers and the high number of personal fouls.

Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of Knightmatic

SF	Derrick Williams
		BPM		PCM		DIR	TPA
Rank	36.49		6.67		63.75		33.00

 Out of 138 players:

·        Williams’s overall numbers do not impress, as he would be a first round pick in only 1 of the 4 metrics – the one that gives us overall production. He is slated to go Top 4.

·        If picked by the right team, he will have instant success; otherwise he may suffer question marks throughout his career.

·        He needs strong coaching so that he can become a better playmaker and defender.

·        Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA (Talent/Skill-set).

EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 5 Shooting Guards, #5

 #5 – E'Twaun Moore (or)  Ben Hansbrough

E'Twaun Moore and Ben Hansbrough are two players who will give a team similar production and results but in different ways. It really is a matter of preference and need. Both have versatile offensive games, with three-point range and accuracy.

E’Twaun has the more athletic game, can score in more ways (volume) and a better rebounder. Ben is more efficient, gets to the line more and better play-maker. A team can’t go wrong with either guy.

Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of btfu5

Video courtesy of awasiele

SG	E'Twaun Moore
	BPM		PCM	DIR	TAP
Rank	42.96	48.00		56.25	11.00

SG	Ben Hansbrough
	BPM	PCM	DIR	TAP
Rank	54.54	44.00	88.00	10.00

  

Out of 138 players:

·         Both players are second round picks – early 40’s.

·         E’Twaun is valuable as a player who could guard the league’s bigger PGs while providing a scoring threat from either guard position.

·         Ben can spell the starting Point Guard while being a scoring threat, particularly a zone buster.

·         Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA (Talent/Skill-set).

EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 5 Shooting Guards, #4

 #4 – Alec Burks

Alec Burks got everybody on that Aaliyah 'age ain't nothing but a number' so we can be together kick. At 19 years old, Burks has done two seasons in college and many have him as a lottery pick. Don’t get me wrong – we like Burks, enough to rank him as our #4 SG and we strongly considered him for the third spot.

We like his all-around offensive game - minus the three-point shooting-, play-making abilities and rebounding. He’s also a decent defender but it is one of his weaker points. When it comes to Shooting Guards, we feel the ability to defend the position is what makes or breaks a player. In Alec’s case, it is a matter of intensity and conviction.

Alec’s ability to get to the Free Throw line and offensive repertoire makes him a viable candidate for a young team looking to groom a player. Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of buffvision

SG	Alec Burks
	BPM		PCM	DIR	TAP
Rank	39.51	14.67		78.50	7.00

Out of 138 players:

·         Alec would be a first round pick in 2 of the 4 metrics – with defense being his downfall. He got injured (shoulder) during a draft workout with the Milwaukee Bucks.

·         Do you feel like gambling? Yes; then use any pick from 7 to 14. No; then wait until late first or early second round.

·         Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA (Talent/Skill-set).

EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 5 Shooting Guards, #3

 #3 – Iman Shumpert

Iman Shumpert is that SG you put in a veteran squad’s starting lineup and they will not miss a beat. He has a very mature yet uber-athletic game, complete with NBA mid-range jumper where if he stays 17ft. and in, he will excel. Anything beyond that, he will struggle.

He has good ball-handling skills, both to create his own shot and dish. We put him ahead of many other SGs who are in the same skill and talent class because of his defense. His strength is that of a perimeter defender (quick feet and hands), where you can even bring him off the bench to disrupt both guard positions, and match-up against smaller Small Forwards.

Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of GaTechfan4life3

SG	Iman Shumpert
	BPM		PCM	DIR		TAP
Rank	26.45	48.33			15.25	13.00

 Out of 138 players:

·         Though Iman would be a first round pick in 3 of the 4 metrics, he might not get drafted until the late-20’s.

·         Unless he dedicates a tremendous amount of time to it, he should forget about taking 3pters at the NBA level

·         Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA (Talent/Skill-set).

EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 5 Shooting Guards, #2

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#2 – Klay Thompson

Klay Thompson’s jumper is fuego. That’s all you really need to know when it comes to why we chose to rank him the #2 SG in this draft. Klay is not a guy who you’re going to pin as your number one offensive option every night. But he can and will give you good offensive production backed by good defense.

We like his all-around game and ability to play within a team’s concept. Though we worry about his handle/speed combination when it comes to creating his own shot on the NBA level, he can be a playmaker. Oh…Did we mention that his jumper is money, as in nearly 40% from three-point land.

Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of argus1948

SG	Klay Thompson
	BPM		PCM	DIR	TAP
Rank	20.29	31.00		21.25	2.00

Out of 138 players:

·         Though Klay would be a first round pick in 3 of the 4 metrics, he might not get drafted until the mid-20’s.

·         He has to learn not to force shots and become a better rebounder.

·         Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA (Talent/Skill-set).

EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 5 Shooting Guards, #1

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#1 – Marshon Brooks

Marshon Brooks is a scorer and defender. Right now the NBA is in serious need of two-way Shooting Guards with enough size. This is the main reason we have seen the rise of “Combo Guards” – Point Guards who are more scorers but leave their team at a disadvantage when the coach decides to play them next to another Point Guard.

In order to become elite or play on an All-Star level, Marshon will need to extend the range on his jumpshot, as well as become more of a playmaker. You ask, with these two major knocks, how is he our top-ranked SG?

One: Defense! Two: Scoring! Marshon solves those needs and puts numbers across the board. Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of Pete75227

SG	Marshon Brooks
	BPM		PCM		DIR	TAP
Rank	12.31	11.00		18.00		4.00

 Out of 138 players:

·         Marshon would be a first round pick in all 4 of the metrics.

·         His production and defense makes him a very safe pick, someone that could go Top 10, with very little “bust factor”.

·         Needs to improve three-point shooting.

·         Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA (Talent/Skill-set).

EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 5 Point Guards, #5

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 #5 – Charles Jenkins

Charles Jenkins put up numbers that if he played at a major school, he would be a Top 5 Pick. The math looks like this: 22.6 PPG on FG 51.7%; 2pt FG% 56.3%; and 3pt FG% 42%. Source - http://draftexpress.com

This is when playing for a smaller school in a conference ranked less than a mid-major hurts your draft stock. It also doesn't help that Hofstra didn't make the 2011 NCAA Tournament while conference rivals George Mason University and Old Dominion University got to the big dance.

Yes, Jenkins is more of a scoring Point Guard, but that is how the NBA is trending. He also dished out 4.8 APG so we know he has play-making abilities. Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of Jhood90

PG	Charles Jenkins
	BPM		PCM	DIR	TAP
Rank	17.27	12.00		28.50	5.00

 Out of 138 players:

·         Jenkins would be a first round pick in all 4 of the metrics.

·         His defense will be another factor pushing him up the charts. Might go early 20’s.

·         Still more of Shooting Guard but should not have any problems making the transition.

·         Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA (Talent/Skill-set).

EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 5 Point Guards, #4

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#4 – Nolan Smith

Nolan Smith is the Alicia Keys song of this draft, and the current selection is Fallin’. Many other draft prognosticators seem to agree with me, as he keeps slipping down many boards. For this fourth slot, one day, I’m thinking Reggie Jackson; the next: Malcolm Delaney, Preston Knowles, Isaiah Thomas, Brandon Knight…and so on.

Then it comes back to - perhaps I’m seeing Nolan through Rose-colored glasses. Well if I were, would I have chosen a Duke PG as my second…but wait shouldn’t Kyrie Irving be first? You see what I mean? When Duke PGs come to mind, I think of Bobby Hurley and Jay Williams, the ones who, if it were not for career-ending injuries, could have amended any apprehensions people have with Duke PGs and players, in general.

If I were looking for a safe pick, I would not be on that Nolan Smith flow ‘cause I know he’s only a consistent three-pointer away from being certified. Keep in mind that his ability to play both Guard positions kept Duke on top throughout the season, even after Kyrie went down with injury.

Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of Thepremierplayers

 

PG	Nolan Smith
	BPM		PCM	DIR	TAP
Rank	50.92	25.00		85.00	29.00

 Out of 138 players:

·         Nolan will be a mid to late first rounder, gone by the 25^th pick.

·         Many view him as more of an undersized Shooting Guard.

·         His defense is what pushed him downward. His handle is what kept him afloat.

·         Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA (Talent/Skill-set).

EvenMoney’s NBA Draft 2011 – Top 5 Point Guards, #3

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#3 - Jimmer Fredette

First, I’ll put it out there - the hype surrounding Jimmer is ridiculous, in the colloquial and literal sense. He is being followed by a production crew that has created a youtube channel to cover his journey to the draft. Sounds a bit much? How about this song, Teach Me How To Jimmer?

Under normal circumstances, this type of hype would turn me off completely to a player. But Jimmer is not normal, not when it comes to offense, specifically his first step and his jumper. The main knocks on him deal with his lack of defense, whether he’s a shoot-first Point Guard, and that he came from a school (BYU) that did not face top competition night-in, night-out.

Sounds familiar? Yes, Stephen Curry! As you can see Curry’s numbers eclipsed Jimmer’s but he did play at lesser renowned school! Even with all of these factors, Jimmer will have a positive impact in the right system and team.

Still not convinced? Ponder the stats below and press play!

Video courtesy of eagleye1144

PG	Jimmer Fredette
	BPM		PCM	DIR		TAP
Rank	34.99	6.67			77.75	1.00

Out of 138 players:

·         The positive: Jimmer can score with the best of them and will boost fan appreciation.

·         The negative: he needs to develop a defensive identity or he will become an off the bench player, a spark plug.

·         Considered as a whole (BPM), as well as for each specialty (PCM for Production; DIR for Defense; and TPA for Talent/Skill-set).