NFL 2016 Week 12 RESULTS - Hedging the Straight Line

Week 12 -- features three teams fighting for their division and two more clinging to playoff hopes.

1)  New York Giants –  on a 6 game winning streak, still have chance to win NFC East, and won 4 slots including the Under.

2)  Buffalo Bills – not projected to cover the Spread but nearly did and won 4 slots including the OVER.

NFL 2016 Week 7 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line

Week 7 was pretty much a split between Favorites and Underdogs.

1)  New Orleans Saints – won 4 slots, lost the game and surprisingly didn't make the OVER.

2)  San Diego Chargers – won 4 slots and kept their season alive.

3)  Green Bay Packers – won the two ATS slots and the O/U

4)  Denver Broncos – won the two ATS slots and the O/U

NFL 2016 Week 6 TNF: Broncos Chargers - Hedging the Straight Line

For tonight's game: 

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers--

1) Broncos to win by 5 points -- projected

2) Chargers to lose by 3 points -- projected

3) Opening Spread -- Broncos (-3.5)

4) Projected O/U 44.43

5) Actual O/U 45.00

Who Are Da Bears? - NFL 2015 MNF 9

Chicago At San Diego (-4; 50)  has Wild Card playoff implications for both teams, but moreso for the Bears because they will be just one game behind the NFC logjam for the final playoff spot.

It is a tall order because, even after a win tonight, Chicago is likely to go no better than 4-4 in their final 8 games. But, what if, the Bears are not who we thought they were?

The Bears are only 2-5 but 4 of their losses have come to teams with .500 or better records. Four of these teams would qualify if the playoffs started today. Three of these losses were to division foes who know them well and two could have been wins -- lost by 3 points twice.



The blowout losses were to NFC West teams. In Week 2 against the Arizona Cardinals, the Bears trailed 28-20 at the half and then Quarterback Jay Cutler got hurt. The Bears went on to lose 48-23.

The next week they were shut out 26-0 on the road at Seattle with Jay Clausen at QB. With Cutler back from injury, Chicago won their next two matchups versus AFC West opponents.

The next two losses -- one due to questionable calls against them at Detroit -- were against fellow NFC North opponents.



Tonight's game will pit the Bears against another AFC West opponent, the San Diego Chargers who are 2-6 and currently on a four-game losing streak.

The Chargers are normally involved in high-scoring affairs because they have offensive firepower and score 23.88 points per game. In return, they give up 28.38.

San Diego has not yielded less than 24 points in any game this year. In both their Wins, the opponent scored, at least, 27 points.

In 3 of their last 4 games, the Bears have held teams to under 24 points.

The question: Do Da Bears have enough offensive firepower to withstand the Chargers' air assault?

The numbers break only on the percentages, not the spread: Bears (.684) and Chargers (.316)

So, I take Bears (Under).  Pick wisely, and come back for Thursday's picks and tonight we find out whether "da Bears are who we thought they were".

Chargers Playing Second Fiddle - NFL 2015 MNF 5

Tonight's Monday Night Football matchup features two teams who are at 2-2 and are conceivably playing for a Wild Card Playoff spot, as both their division leaders are sitting at 5-0.

For the Pittsburgh Steelers, there is a built-in excuse, an injury to their starting quarterback. The Chargers, on the other hand, have not had a 10-win season since LaDainian Tomlinson left after the 2009 season.

Since then, San Diego has only made the playoffs once and have not won the AFC West. First, it was close finishes the Kansas City Chiefs, but lately the Chargers have been mostly playing second fiddle to the Chiefs and the Denver Broncos with Peyton Manning.

The Chargers are basically hitched to Philip Rivers until the end of his contract (app. $82 million) in 2019. They will continue to go as Rivers goes. This year they have won both their HOME games and lost both their AWAY games.


Defensively, they have given up, at least, 24 points each game. Their opponent, the Pittsburgh Steelers, only gave up more than 24 points once in four games -- to the New England Patriots.

The line is Pittsburgh Steelers At San Diego Chargers (-4; 45.5). The Chargers do play high scoring games, and except for one game this season, the Steelers have combined for 43 or more points.

The numbers show Steelers winning by up to 4 points, and the Chargers with a very slim chance to win by 1 point.

So, I take Steelers (Over).  Pick wisely, and come back for Thursday's picks and enjoy this playlist.

Jets vs Chargers – Even Money’s NFL PLAYOFFS 2010 PICKS

Jets vs Chargers on paper is the most lopsided matchup of this weekend’s NFL Playoffs Divisional Round games. The winner faces the Indianapolis Colts. The betting line has the New York Jets as a +8 underdog to the San Diego Chargers which is comparable to 2 of the other matchups. But, very few people think the Jets can pull out an outright win.

The New York Jets are not your cuddly, underdog Cinderella story. They are a team led by a boastful coach (Rex Ryan) who has handed his team its Super Bowl itinerary including the parade date.

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Even Money’s NFL PICKS Week 16 Christmas Day – Chargers vs Titans

Chargers vs Titans is the Christmas Day match-up for NFL Picks Week 16 – the regular NFL Thursday Night game pushed back a day. The San Diego Chargers capture the AFC 2^nd seed and a first-round bye with a win. For the Tennessee Titans, it keeps their AFC Wild Card playoffs hope alive. They are 1 of the 8 AFC teams vying for a wild card seeding.
The Titans moved up from 16 to 12 in our Power Rankings this past week. They had an impressive start against the Miami Dolphins and almost faltered down the line, if not for a misguided penalty against their opponent.

FULL ARTICLE

Even Money’s NFL PICKS Week 15 – Chargers vs Bengals, RIP Chris Henry

Chargers vs Bengals is one of my marquee match-ups for NFL Picks Week 15. This one was slated to be a fierce and emotional battle between two divisional leaders because of this past summer’s Twitter spat between San Diego Chargers Line Backer Shawn Merriman, and Cincinnati Bengals Wide Receiver Chad Ochocinco. The recent death of Bengals Wide Receiver Chris Henry (RIP) adds to the emotions but might temper any possible bad blood.

Though Henry had not been a model citizen or teammate, Owner Mike Brown gave him another chance to play for the Bengals this season.

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Even Money’s NFL Power Rankings – December 15, 2009

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RANK	TEAM	WINS	LOSSES	COMMENT
CONTENDERS
1	Indianapolis	13	0	Colts Defense and steadiness as exhibited by being 9-3-1 ATS puts them ahead of the other undefeated Team, New Orleans Saints.
2	New Orleans	13	0	Saints have not covered for 2 straight weeks and won by only 3 points each time. They are 8-5-0 ATS.
3	San Diego	10	3	Chargers have an 8-game winning streak and are 7-1 ATS during that stretch with wins over the Giants, Eagles, Broncos and Cowboys.

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Even Money’s NFL PICKS Week 14 Sunday – Cowboys vs. Chargers

Cowboys vs. Chargers is one of my marquee match-ups for NFL Picks Week 14. Two consecutive weeks that I have not been able to put my finger on the Dallas Cowboys pulse but I am hoping I get it right for this game against a surging San Diego Chargers squad. The Chargers have won 7 games in a row, and are 9-3 for the season.

During this 7 game, stretch the Chargers have averaged 31.14 points, while holding their opponents to 15.14 points. They have been dominating and during this stretch the Chargers beat two of Dallas’ NFC East division rivals – Giants and Eagles. In those two games the Chargers averaged 26 points and gave up 21.5 points. These totals mirror the Cowboys’ output against the two teams: scoring 24 and 20; and giving up 31 and 16 - winning one and losing the other.

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