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Wednesday, November 30, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 12 RESULTS - Hedging the Straight Line

http://sportsnaut.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/1-odell-Odell-Beckham-Jr-New-York-Giants-jpg-810x456.jpg
Week 12 -- features three teams fighting for their division and two more clinging to playoff hopes.

1)  New York Giants –  on a 6 game winning streak, still have chance to win NFC East, and won 4 slots including the Under.

2)  Buffalo Bills – not projected to cover the Spread but nearly did and won 4 slots including the OVER.


3)  San Diego Chargers – won 3 slots including both Projected and kept their playoffs hopes alive.

4)  Tampa Bay Buccaneers – nice on the Road Underdog win, kept themselves in playoff mix and won both slots ATS.
     
5)  Kansas City Chiefs – tough, good win to stay in the AFC West race, won the two ATS slots and the OVER.









PROJECTED SPREAD
ACTUAL SPREADS
PROJ ECTED
ACTUAL
Team_Away
Team_Home
 Spread Away
 Spread Home
 AWAY FAV
 HOME FAV
 OVER UNDER
 OVER UNDER
Minnesota
Detroit
5.40
(2.40)
             -  
    (2.50)
     41.10
    41.50
Washington
Dallas
(7.00)
(12.00)
             -  
    (6.50)
     56.45
    52.00
Pittsburgh
Indianapolis
4.60
(0.20)
       (7.50)
          -  
     47.20
    48.00
San Diego
Houston
(0.80)
2.40
       (1.50)
          -  
     48.60
    46.50
Tennessee
Chicago
(2.50)
7.80
       (4.50)
          -  
     48.55
    42.00
Jacksonville
Buffalo
7.50
(1.60)
             -  
    (7.50)
     48.32
    45.00
Cincinnati
Baltimore
2.25
(1.20)
             -  
    (4.50)
     48.28
    40.50
Arizona
Atlanta
(3.00)
(0.40)
             -  
    (3.50)
     52.55
    50.50
San Francisco
Miami
16.00
(6.60)
             -  
    (7.50)
     49.30
    44.50
Los Angeles
New Orleans
2.80
(2.50)
             -  
    (6.50)
     42.05
    45.50
NY Giants
Cleveland
(4.60)
13.33
       (6.50)
          -  
     43.53
    44.50
Seattle
Tampa Bay
(4.20)
(4.80)
       (5.50)
          -  
     51.70
    45.00
Carolina
Oakland
(2.00)
(4.80)
             -  
    (2.50)
     46.80
    49.50
Kansas City
Denver
(7.33)
(2.00)
             -  
    (3.50)
     40.90
    39.50
New England
NY Jets
(10.20)
4.20
       (7.50)
          -  
     45.80
    47.00
Green Bay
Philadelphia
7.33
1.50
             -  
    (3.50)
     50.25
    47.50





PROJECTED SPREAD
ACTUAL SPREADS
PROJ ECTED
ACTUAL
Team_Away
Team_Home
 Spread Away
 Spread Home
 AWAY ATS
 HOME ATS
 Variance
 OVER UNDER
Minnesota
Detroit
 LOSS
 WON
 WON
 LOSS
(12.10)
 WON
Washington
Dallas
 LOSS
 LOSS
 WON
 LOSS
0.55
 WON
Pittsburgh
Indianapolis
 LOSS
 LOSS
 LOSS
 LOSS
(12.20)
 WON
San Diego
Houston
 WON
 WON
 LOSS
 WON
(14.60)
 LOSS
Tennessee
Chicago
 WON
 LOSS
 LOSS
 WON
(0.55)
 WON
Jacksonville
Buffalo
 LOSS
 WON
 WON
 WON
0.68
 WON
Cincinnati
Baltimore
 WON
 WON
 LOSS
 LOSS
(15.28)
 LOSS
Arizona
Atlanta
 LOSS
 WON
 LOSS
 LOSS
4.45
 WON
San Francisco
Miami
 LOSS
 WON
 LOSS
 WON
5.70
 WON
Los Angeles
New Orleans
 WON
 WON
 LOSS
 LOSS
27.95
 LOSS
NY Giants
Cleveland
 WON
 WON
 LOSS
 WON
(3.53)
 WON
Seattle
Tampa Bay
 LOSS
 WON
 WON
 WON
(32.70)
 LOSS
Carolina
Oakland
 LOSS
 LOSS
 LOSS
 WON
20.20
 LOSS
Kansas City
Denver
 LOSS
 LOSS
 WON
 WON
16.10
 WON
New England
NY Jets
 LOSS
 WON
 WON
 LOSS
(6.80)
 WON
Green Bay
Philadelphia
 LOSS
 WON
 LOSS
 WON
(10.25)
 LOSS

WINS
5
11
6
9

10

LOSSES
11
5
10
7

6
 

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