o Analyze results, identify trends and predict outcomes for NFL, NBA, WTA and ATP matches.

o Assign player fantasy sports value, measure player efficiency, and compare and rank teams across eras.

Thursday, October 06, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 5 TNF: Cards Niners - Hedging the Straight Line

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For tonight's game: 
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers

1) Cardinals to win by 7 points -- projected

2) Niners to lose by 8 points -- projected

3) Opening Spread -- Cardinals -3.5

4) Projected O/U 44.14

5) Actual O/U 42.00




PROJECTED SPREAD
ACTUAL SPREADS
PROJ ECTED
ACTUAL
Team_Away
Team_Home
 Spread Away
 Spread Home
 AWAY FAV
 HOME FAV
 OVER UNDER
 OVER UNDER
Arizona
San Francisco
       (6.96)
           8.25
       (3.50)
          -  
     44.14
    42.00




 Last Week's Results:

1) Cardinals lost and was projected not to cover the -7.5 spread

2) Niners lost and was projected to lose by 8 points, a win ATS (against the spread)

3) Both teams were UNDER



PROJECTED SPREAD
ACTUAL SPREADS
PROJ ECTED
ACTUAL
Team Away
Team Home
 Spread Away
 Spread Home
 AWAY FAV
 HOME FAV
 OVER UNDER
 OVER UNDER
Dallas
San Francisco
          4.32
          8.32
         (2.50)
               -  
        41.26
        45.50
Los Angeles
Arizona
          3.58
         (7.45)
               -  
         (7.50)
        42.90
        43.00










PROJECTED SPREAD
ACTUAL SPREADS
PROJ ECTED
ACTUAL
Team Away
Team Home
 Spread Away
 Spread Home
 AWAY ATS
 HOME ATS
 Variance
 OVER UNDER
Dallas
San Francisco
 LOSS
 LOSS
 LOSS
 WON
(0.26)
 WON
Los Angeles
Arizona
 LOSS
 LOSS
 WON
 WON
(12.90)
 WON


IMAGES





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