Even Money's NCCA Bracket Rankings

I'm running with the model I created last year (2010) for the NCAA Tournament.

It picked 26 out of 32 First Round match-ups, and 9 out of 16 Second Round match-ups. Then, the upsets came and I only got one Final Four team (Duke).

All you have to do is go through the bracket and pick the "higher ranked" team, regardless of seeding. As you will see, the top ranked teams are expected to go through, since the model is straight math and I've not geared it to pick upsets. Upsets come into play when the selection committee over/under-estimate a team.

Do tweak the selections as you see fit! Let me know how it goes for you!

Rank	Team Name	Conference	Ten Scale / Win
1	Kansas	Big 12	8.00
2	Ohio St.	Big Ten	8.00
3	Duke	Atlantic Coast	7.20
4	San Diego St.	Mountain West	7.00
5	Utah St.	Western Athletic	6.50
6	Pittsburgh	Big East	6.40
7	BYU	Mountain West	6.30
8	Texas	Big 12	6.00
9	Arizona	Pacific 10	6.00
10	Notre Dame	Big East	6.00
11	Florida	Southeastern	5.80
12	North Carolina	Atlantic Coast	5.80
13	Syracuse	Big East	5.80
14	Belmont	Atlantic Sun	5.60
15	Purdue	Big Ten	5.60
16	Cincinnati	Big East	5.40
17	Connecticut	Big East	5.40
18	Kentucky	Southeastern	5.40
19	Richmond	Atlantic 10	5.20
20	Louisville	Big East	5.20
21	Texas A&M	Big 12	5.10
22	Wisconsin	Big Ten	5.00
23	Long Island	Northeast	4.80
24	Temple	Atlantic 10	4.80
25	Old Dominion	Colonial	4.60
26	Xavier	Atlantic 10	4.60
27	Vanderbilt	Southeastern	4.60
28	Washington	Pacific 10	4.60
29	Missouri	Big 12	4.50
30	George Mason	Colonial	4.40
31	UNLV	Mountain West	4.40
32	Memphis	Conference USA	4.40
33	UCLA	Pacific 10	4.40
34	Kansas St.	Big 12	4.30
35	Florida St.	Atlantic Coast	4.20
36	Georgetown	Big East	4.20
37	Princeton	Ivy	4.10
38	Gonzaga	West Coast	4.10
39	UAB	Conference USA	4.00
40	Georgia	Southeastern	4.00
41	Villanova	Big East	4.00
42	St. John's (NY)	Big East	4.00
43	Clemson	Atlantic Coast	4.00
44	Bucknell	Patriot	3.80
45	West Virginia	Big East	3.80
46	Hampton	Mid Eastern	3.50
47	Oakland	Summit	3.50
48	Michigan	Big Ten	3.30
49	Morehead St.	OVC	3.20
50	Marquette	Big East	3.20
51	Illinois	Big Ten	3.20
52	Butler	Horizon	3.10
53	Tennessee	Southeastern	3.00
54	Southern California	Pacific 10	3.00
55	Penn St.	Big Ten	3.00
56	Michigan St.	Big Ten	2.90
57	VCU	Colonial	2.80
58	Akron	Mid American	2.50
59	Indiana St.	Missouri Valley	2.50
60	Northern Colo.	Big Sky	2.40
61	Wofford	Southern	2.20
62	Boston U.	America East	2.00
63	St. Peter's	Metro Atlantic	1.80
64	UNC Asheville	Big South	1.30
65	UTSA	Southland	1.30
66	UC Santa Barbara	Big West	1.20
67	UALR	Sun Belt	0.80
68	Alabama St.	Southwestern	0.20